The Kurdistan Region heads towards 2 million bpd production as international interest continues to grow in the next global energy hub
The immense oil reserves of Kurdistan with an estimated at 45 billion barrels, attracts dozens of international oil giants to the Kurdistan Region's 2012 Energy Conference.
Only five years ago, Kurdistan did not know the extent of oil under its feet. It has now found out that it has an amount of oil similar to that of Libya and about the same amount of natural gas as Kazakhstan.
The region's oil and gas story started in 2006 when it passed its oil and gas law into legislation. Since then, the government of Kurdistan has signed some 57 oil and gas exploration, production, and transportation agreements with a number of oil companies.
This was the third oil and gas conference through which the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) aimed to showcase the opportunities for keen investors and companies in the industry.
This year's conference witnessed participation of companies from all across the globe. However, it was Turkish participation that was most prominent.
The Turkish Minister of Energy, Taner Yildiz, accompanied by 20 of his ministry's officials was in Erbil along with a business delegation seeking oil and gas deals with the KRG.
In recent years, the political tensions have distorted the bilateral ties between Erbil and Ankara, but this time the Turkish government officials were prepared to speak in a new language.
"Kurds play a significant role in the politics and economy of Iraq and we would like to improve our economic ties with them," stated Yildiz.
Few years ago, Turkish officials barely recognized the Kurdistan Region and its influential role in Iraq.
"After years of keeping distance, today we have understood each other's significance and we work on the basis of brotherhood rather than hostility," says Pars Kotay from the Turkish Genel Energy, who thinks that the backbone of the growing Kurdish-Turkish relations is energy.
Kotay thinks that the main route for the transportation of Kurdish energy to the world is Turkey and Kurdistan is Turkey's strategic source of energy.
The Region's gas reserve is estimated at between 2.8 to 5.7 trillion cubic meters. Dr. Ashti Hawrami, the Kurdish Minister of Natural Resources, disclosed his government's plans to export its gas to Europe via Turkey.
According to Hawrami, the gas pipeline between Kurdistan and Turkey will be completed within 12 months, through which Kurdistan can export its gas to Europe and stabilize its role and foothold in the international energy arena. The natural gas currently produced in the Region is used for domestic needs to generate more than 1000 megawatts of electricity. The ministry's strategic plan indicates that in the coming years it will increase this production rate to more than 5000 megawatts through utilization of natural gas supplies.
Kurdistan's natural gas needs to take a longer route to reach the world's markets, but this is not the case for its oil.
Kurdistan currently has an oil production capacity of 250,000 bpd, which according to Minister Hawrami will reach 300,000 bpd by the end of 2012.
However, this is far from it capacity and according to Hawrami the region will boost production to 1 million bpd by 2015.
"By 2019, Kurdistan Region will have a capacity of producing 2 million bpd," stated Minister Hawrami in the energy conference in Erbil on May 19th.
This is near the current production rate of Iraq. If this goal is achieved and in 2019 the price of a barrel of oil is sold at US$100, the region's revenues may easily reach US$76 billion, more than six times the budget it currently receives from Baghdad.
In the short-term, reaching this goal is not easy and straightforward. The federal government has not paid the fees to the oil companies in the Kurdistan Region for several months. According to Hawrami, this non-payment coincides with the fact that the revenues from Region's oil exports goes to the central government.
Erbil and Baghdad officials have met several times for negotiations to resolve this issue, but after failing to reach an agreement the KRG was finally forced to stop its oil exports.
Crucially, no national hydrocarbon law exists in Iraq years after the new Iraq was established. Although a draft has been prepared since 2007, the political parties failed to find common agreement over the terms of the draft and hence it has remained idle on the archives of parliament.
Pointing to its constitutional rights to explore and produce oil, the Kurdistan Region has drafted and approved its regional oil and gas law in parliament, and has based its oil and gas contracts on this law.
The differentiating characteristic of Kurdish and Iraqi contracts is that Baghdad tenders service contracts to oil companies whereas Erbil signs production-sharing contracts, something which has made KRG contracts more attractive to investors as they promise more profit.
In addition to the difference in the contracts, there is a different in views over the management of energy. The chairman of the previous Iraqi Parliament's Oil and Gas Committee, Dr. Hussein Balo, argues that Baghdad wants to control the oil and gas resources of the whole country centrally, "while the constitution has given the Region the right to manage its own resources."
In a survey done by the Oil and Gas Year Magazine to compare Kurdistan Region's contracts against those of elsewhere in the country, 65% of the participants argue that Kurdish contracts are more attractive, while 13% believe that they are better than the level of other international contracts.
In the same magazine, Frank Farkas, from the Hungarian oil company MOL, talks about his experience in the Kurdistan Region, which has proved the success of the style of contracts issued. He wishes that the system will remain stable and sustainable.
In the current unstable political situation in Iraq, the possibility of solving the oil disputes is seen difficult, but Hawrami reiterates "we do not compromise on our constitutional rights and will continue to develop the region's energy sector."
The Kurdish Globe