
ERBIL, Kurdistan Region — A recent seminar, organized by Gulan magazine and the University of Erbil’s department of philosophy, allowed many viewpoints to be expressed under the topic “The Kurdish State: Between Reality and Utopia.”
Mala Bakhtiyar, head of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) political bureau and host of the seminar, said, “The right opportunity to declare the Kurdish independent state has not yet arrived.”
However, Shaho Saeed, spokesperson for the Change Movement (Gorran), said, “Many opportunities have arrived, but since we have not been able to deal with the local issues yet, we haven’t been able to declare a Kurdish state.”
Saeed believes the Kurdish leadership has missed many opportunities due to the issues inside Kurdistan. “How can we declare a Kurdish state without a national military and national security? Instead, we have the security forces of political parties,” he said.
According to Saeed, Kurdish leaders only want an independent Kurdish state if they can be in charge. Otherwise, they will go so far as to create obstacles to an independent Kurdish state being established.
But Bakhtiyar strongly disagrees with this idea, saying, “The opposition doesn’t know what the KDP and PUK know. The PUK has relations with 36 intelligence agencies worldwide, as does the KDP. We are aware of developments occurring around the world every day.”
He adds, “When the right time comes to declare independence, it will be obvious who has to make a decision and bear the consequences. At this point, federalism is our strategy as we enjoy international, regional and local support. We are not hopeless nor without a plan.”
Mahmoud Muhammed, a member of the KDP political bureau, described several factors necessary to establishing a Kurdish state, including geography, population, military capacity, diplomacy and unity between Kurds.
“We should assure neighboring countries that the establishment of a Kurdish state will not affect them negatively. We also have to discuss this issue with Baghdad peacefully,” he added.
After the 1991 uprising, the Kurdistan Region was freed from Saddam Hussein’s army and became an autonomous region. Following the fall of the regime in 2003, the Kurdistan Region was defined as federal entity. However, the Kurdistan Region and Iraqi government still have many disagreements, and talk of independence has emerged as tensions intensify.
Developments in the region are also changing the conversation. Bakhtiyar discussed the current situation in Syria, saying that fall of President Bashar al-Assad’s regime will bring a big opportunity for Kurds.
“By forming a new democratic government in Syria, I don’t believe countries in the region will be able to plot against the Kurds like they did in the past,” he said.
Bakhtiyar believes the fall of the Syrian regime will diminish many obstacles for the Kurds. He said, “The Islamists will not win if a clean election is held in Syria. What is happening in Syria is very important and will bring changes to the political dimensions that will be in the Kurds’ interests.”
Bakhtiyar spoke about recent developments in the wider region and their effects on Kurds. “The Middle East is changing. The changes will reshape the Middle East from its old system. The new Middle East will make Kurdish dreams come true. It is possible that, in the near future, unbelievable changes will occur in the Middle East.”
He also discussed the importance of timing in declaring the Kurdish state, saying that he believed the decision would be made in the next 10 years. “If the right time comes to declare an independent Kurdish state and we ignore it, the Kurdish people have the right to put us on trial,” Bakhtiyar said.
However, Saeed said, “The Kurdish independent state has become a symbol for the Kurdish leadership to scare others.”
He added, “Discussion of a Kurdish state is meant to pressure the Iraqi government to agree with the KRG’s oil contracts. When the Iraqi government agrees to them, we will quit mentioning the Kurdish state.”